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Recent publications, presentations, news:
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Davolio S., Sala I., Comunian A., Mastrangelo D., Miglietta M. M., Drago Pitura L., Grazzini, F., 2026:
Detection of atmospheric rivers affecting the western Mediterranean and producing extreme
rainfall over northern-central Italy,
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2291-2304.
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Silva L., Davolio S., 2026:
Assimilation of satellite-derived rainfall estimates to improve
numerical simulations of medicanes.
Bull. of Atmos. Sci.& Technol. 7, 2.
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Flaounas E., Dafis S., Davolio S., Faranda D., Ferrarin C., Hartmuth K., Hochman A., Koutroulis A., Khodayar S.,
Miglietta M. M., Pantillon F., Patlakas P., Sprenger M., and Thurnherr I., 2025:
Dynamics, predictability, impacts and climate change considerations of the catastrophic Mediterranean Storm Daniel (2023)
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1515-1538.
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Gifuni L., de Ruggiero P., Cianelli D., Drofa O., Davolio S., Pierini S., Zambianchi E., 2025:
Impact of wind forcing on surface transport in the Gulf of Naples
Scientific Reports, 15, 39588.
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Gambini E., Ravazzani G., Mancini M., Valsecchi I. Q., Cucchi A., Negretti A., Davolio S.,
Drofa O., Lombardi G., Ceppi A., 2025:
Uncertainty quantification and spatial biases assessment in precipitation forecasts: A methodology for real-time
flood forecasting applications
J. Hydrometeorol., 26, 1423-1436.
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Miglietta M.M., Flaounas E., González-Alemán J. J., Panegrossi G., M. A. Gaertner, Pantillon F.,
Pasquero C., Schultz D. M., D'Adderio L. P., Dafis S., Husson R., Ricchi A., Carrió D. S.,
Davolio S., Fita L., Picornell M. A., Pytharoulis I., Raveh-Rubin S., Scoccimarro E., Bernini L.,
Cavicchia L., Conte D., Ferretti R., Flocas H., Gutiérrez-Fernández J., Hatzaki M.,
Homar Santaner V., Jansà A., Patlakas P., 2025:
Defining medicanes: Bridging the knowledge gap between tropical and extratropical
cyclones in the Mediterranean.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106, E1955–E1971.
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Quarterly Journal Editors' Award 2024
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Davolio S. 2025: Atmospheric rivers in the Mediterranean basin and heavy precipitation over northern Italy.
Solicited @ EGU2025.
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Khodayar, S., Kushta, J., Catto, J. L., Dafis, S., Davolio, S., Ferrarin, C.,
Flaounas, E., Groenemeijer, P., Hatzaki, M., Hochman, A., Kotroni, V., Landa, J.,
Lang-Ritter, I., Lazoglou, G., Liberato, M. L. R., Miglietta, M. M., Papagiannaki, K.,
Patlakas, P., Stojanov, R., Zittis G., 2025:
Mediterranean cyclones in a changing climate: A review on their socio-economic impacts.
Reviews of Geophysics, 63, e2024RG000853.
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Degiacomi T., A. Zonato , S. Davolio , M. M. Miglietta, L. Giovannini, 2025:
Deep banded orographic convection over an idealized mountain range:
influence of upstream atmospheric conditions
J. Atmos. Sci., 82,1033-1055.
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Xu, C., Zhong, P., Davolio, S., Drofa, O., Gambini, E., Ravazzani, G., Ceppi, A., 2025:
Testing machine learning algorithms as post-processing tools for hydro-meteorological
modelling over a small river basin
Environmental Modelling & Software, 193, 106592
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Zanchi, M., Zapperi, S., Bocchi, S., Drofa, O., Davolio, S., La Porta, C. A. M., 2025:
Improving localized weather predictions for precision agriculture: A Time-Series Mixer approach for
hazardous event detection.
Environmental Modelling & Software, 191, 106509
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Dallan E., T. Perez-Ciria, L. Giovannini, S. Davolio, D. Zardi, M. Borga, 2025:
Rainfall elasticity functions explain divergent runoff sensitivity to rainfall errors in hydrological models.
J. Hydrology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132746
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Carniel C. E., A. Ricchi, R. Ferretti, G. Curci, M. M. Miglietta, M. Reale, P. Serafini, E. D. Wellmeyer,
S. Davolio, D. Zardi, L. Kantha, 2024:
A high-resolution climatological study of Explosive Cyclones in the Mediterranean region:
frequency, intensity and synoptic drivers
Quart. Jou. Roy. Meteorolog. Soc.,150(765), 5561-5582. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4889
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Sanchez, C., Gray, S., Volonte', A., Pantillon, F., Berthou, S., and Davolio, S., 2024:
The impact of preceding convection on the development of Medicane Ianos and
the sensitivity to sea surface temperature.
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 1429 - 1455,
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1429-2024.
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Pantillon, F., Davolio, S., Avolio, E., Calvo-Sancho, C., Carrio, D. S., Dafis, S., Gentile,
E. S., Gonzalez-Aleman, J. J., Gray, S., Miglietta, M. M., Patlakas, P., Pytharoulis, I.,
Ricard, D., Ricchi, A., Sanchez, C., and Flaounas, E. , 2024:
The crucial representation of deep convection for the cyclogenesis of Medicane Ianos
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 1187-1205, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1187-2024.
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De Martin F., S. Davolio, M. M. Miglietta, V. Levizzani, 2024:
A conceptual model for the development of tornadoes in the complex orography of the Po Valley
Monthly Weather Review, 152 (6), 1357-1377
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Sacchetti D., F. Cassola, M. Corazza, L. Pedemonte, M. Tizzi,
O. Drofa, S. Davolio, 2024:
The ARPAL atmospheric operational modeling chain and its applications:
description and validation
Bull. of Atmos. Sci. & Technol, 5,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42865-024-00064-z.
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Davolio S., M. Vercellino, M. M. Miglietta, L. Drago Pitura, S. Laviola, V. Levizzani, 2023:
The influence of an atmospheric river on a heavy precipitation event over the western Alps.
Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, 100542, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100542.
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A. Ceppi, N. A. Chaves Gonzales, S. Davolio, G. Ravazzani, 2023:
Can meteorological model forecasts initialize hydrological simulations
rather than observed data in ungauged basins?
Meteorol. Appl, 30(6), e2165. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2165.
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Invited talk at Accademia dei Lincei - XXII Giornata mondiale dell'Acqua - 22 March 2023
Conference: The Mediterranean System. A Hotspot for climate change and adaptation.
"To what extent the knowledge of meteorological high-impact phenomena
can support the interpretation of climate change effects in the Mediterranean?"
@ minute 38:00
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Ferrarin C., F, Pantillon, S. Davolio, M. Bajo, M. M. Miglietta, E. Avolio, D. S. Carrio, I. Pytharoulis,
C. Sanchez, P. Patlakas, J. J. Gonzalez-Aleman, E. Flaounas, 2023:
Assessing the coastal hazard of medicane Ianos through ensemble modelling.
Nat. Haz. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2273-2287.
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Ferrarin C., Orlic M., Bajo M., Davolio S., Umgiesser G., Lionello P., 2023:
The contribution of a mesoscale cyclone and associated meteotsunami to the exceptional
flood in Venice on 12 November 2019
Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 149, 2929-2942. doi: 10.1002/qj.4539
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Miglietta M. M., F. Buscemi, S. Dafis, A. Papa, A. Tiesi, D. Conte, S. Davolio, E. Flaounas, V. Levizzani,
R. Rotunno, 2023:
A high-impact meso-beta vortex in the Adriatic Sea.
Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 149(751), 637-656, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4432
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Sioni F., S. Davolio, F. Grazzini, L. Giovannini, 2023:
Revisiting the atmospheric dynamics of the two century floods over north-eastern Italy.
Atmospheric Research, 286, 106662, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106662
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Hatzaki M., E. Flaounas, S. Davolio, F. Pantillon, P. Patlakas, S. Raveh-Rubin, A. Hochman,
J. Kushta, S. Khodayar, S. Dafis, and M. L. R. Liberato, 2023:
MedCyclones: Working together towards understanding Mediterranean cyclones.
Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., published online ahead of print 2023.
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Giorgi F., E. Coppola, G. Giuliani, J. M. Ciarlo, E. Pichelli, R. Nogherotto, F. Raffaele,
P. Malguzzi, S. Davolio, P. Stocchi, O. Drofa, 2023:
The fifth generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5. Part I: Description
and illustrative examples at parameterized convection and convection-permitting resolutions.
J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD038199.
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Flaounas E., S. Davolio, S. Raveh-Rubin, F. Pantillon, M. M. Miglietta, M. A. Gaertner,
M. Hatzaki, V. Homar, S. Khodayar, G. Korres, V. Kotroni, J. Kushta, M. Reale, D. Ricard, 2022:
Mediterranean cyclones: Current knowledge and open questions on dynamics, prediction, climatology and impacts.
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3, 173-208, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-173-2022
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Miglietta M. M., and Davolio S., 2022:
Dynamical forcings in heavy precipitation events over Italy: lessons from the HyMeX SOP1 campaign
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , 26, 627-646.
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Khodayar, S., Davolio, S., Di Girolamo, P., Lebeaupin Brossier, C., Flaounas, E., Fourrie, N.,
Lee, K.-O., Ricard, D., Vie, B., Bouttier, F., Caldas-Alvarez, A., and Ducrocq, V., 2021:
Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western
Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX,
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 17051-17078, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-17051-2021.
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Ferrarin C., Bajo M., Benetazzo A., Cavaleri L., Chiggiato J., Davison S., Davolio S., Lionello P., Orlic M., Umgiesser G., 2021:
Local and large-scale controls of the exceptional Venice floods of November 2019
Progress in Oceanography, 197, 102628.
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Giovannini L., Davolio S., Zaramella M., Zardi D., Borga M., 2021:
Multi-model convection-resolving simulations of the October 2018 Vaia storm over northeastern Italy
Atmos. Research, 253, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105455
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Buzzi A., Davolio S., M. Fantini, 2020:
Cyclogenesis in the lee of the Alps: a review of theories.
Bull. of Atmos. Sci. & Technol., https://doi.org/10.1007/s42865-020-00021-6
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Davolio S., S. Della Fera, S. Laviola, M. M. Miglietta and V. Levizzani, 2020:
Heavy precipitation over Italy from the Mediterranean storm "Vaia" in October 2018:
Assessing the role of an atmospheric river
Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 3571-3588.
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Davolio S., P. Malguzzi, O. Drofa, D. Mastrangelo and A. Buzzi, 2020:
The Piedmont flood of November 1994: a test-bed of forecasting capabilities of
the CNR-ISAC meteorological model suite.
Bull. of Atmos. Sci. & Technol., https://doi.org/10.1007/s42865-020-00015-4
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