Simulation data:

1) Bolam model (nickname "Bolam") with the soil-vegetation-snow parametrisation of "Pochva" scheme (version V18.1, 2018) horizontal resolution 0.075 degrees in rotated coordinates (about 8 km), 50 atmospheric levels
2) Moloch model (nikcname "Moloch") with the soil-vegetation-snow parametrisation of "Pochva" scheme (version V18.1, 2018) horizontal resolution 0.013 degrees in rotated coordinates (about 1.2 km), 50 atmospheric levels
3) IFS-ECMWF (nickname "IFS") Cycle 45, horizontal resolution 0.125 degrees (about 15 km), 137 atmospheric levels

Observation data:

WMO GTS, Synop-Land, ECMWF archive
Data at 0, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21 UTC

2 sets of observation points:

Stations in the whole Bolam domain (about 3100 points)

Italian stations (about 130 points)


Time series of errors as a function of forecast term

BIAS (Systematic error)

RMSE (Root Mean Square Error)

RMSE-BIAS (root mean square error without systematic error)



Errors in observation points for various forecast terms


BIAS        

Bolam Italy domain

Bolam whole domain

Moloch

IFS Italy domain

IFS domain of Bolam


RMSE        

Bolam Italy domain

Bolam whole domain

Moloch

IFS Italy domain

IFS domain of Bolam


RMSE-BIAS        

Bolam Italy domain

Bolam whole domain

Moloch

IFS Italy domain

IFS domain of Bolam