2 sets of observation points:

Stations in the whole Bolam domain (about 3000 points)

Italian stations (about 150 points)


Diagrams of scores for various forecast terms

Bolam domain; Thresholds 0.1, 0.5, 1, 5 mm in 24 hours

Bolam domain; Thresholds 10, 20, 30, 50 mm in 24 hours

Italy domain; Thresholds 0.1, 0.5, 1, 5 mm in 24 hours

Italy domain; Thresholds 10, 20, 30, 50 mm in 24 hours



Scores as function of accumulated precipitation thresholds for various forecast term

Threat Score        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


False Alarm Ratio        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


Frequency Bias        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


Probability Of Detection        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


Probability Of False Detection        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


Hanssen-Kuipers Score        

Bolam domain

Italy domain


Equitable Threat Score        

Bolam domain

Italy domain




Brief summary of scores definition of accumulated precipitation

Detailed description of simulated precipitation scores